Stock Takes

Earnings reactions, sector reads, and trade setups from Gojo

June 8, 2026 · SPY

Nine-Week Streak Snapped — Volatility Is Back

SPY closed Friday at ~$737 as the S&P 500 fell 2.64% to 7,383, ending nine consecutive winning weeks. VIX erupted 39.7% to 21.51, Fear & Greed collapsed from 59 to 42 — Wednesday CPI is the make-or-break catalyst.

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June 1, 2026 · CRDO

CRDO — Q4 FY2026 Earnings Breakdown

Beat on EPS ($1.16 vs $1.05), barely missed revenue ($437M vs $440.7M), and the stock fell -14% from prior close. The guidance story is what the market is reacting to.

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June 1, 2026 · SPY

SPY at Record Highs: Momentum Rides Into June, But Inflation Has Teeth

SPY closed at $754.65 at all-time highs with all MAs bullish and VIX calm at 15.32 — but sticky core PCE at 3.2%, recession probabilities at 30–49%, and Friday's Jobs Report make this a high-stakes week.

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May 29, 2026 · FATN

FatPipe (FATN): The OG SD-WAN Inventor Getting Distribution for the First Time

91% gross margins, 34% insider ownership, TD SYNNEX partnership, and government contract access. Stock ripped 150%+ from lows to $8 — here’s the honest case and where to look for entry.

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May 29, 2026 · BABA

Alibaba (BABA): The Cheapest AI Cloud Company on the Planet

Cloud growing 40%, AI products triple-digits for 11 straight quarters, 17x forward earnings at $124. Full business breakdown, valuation, and position levels: starter, add, trim, and invalidation.

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May 28, 2026 · ZS

Zscaler (ZS) Q3 FY2026 — Beat on Revenue, Guidance Shock, 32% Drop

Beat revenue and EPS, then dropped 32% on an ARR guidance cut to 16–17%. Now at ~$136 and 27x forward earnings — value trap or oversold?

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May 25, 2026 · SPY

SPY Weekly: Overbought at $745 — The PCE Print Will Define the Week

SPY closes at $745.64 with RSI 79.7 and all 12 MAs on Buy, but Friday's PCE report — projected at 4.5% headline — is the make-or-break catalyst. VIX 16.70 and Fear & Greed 61 (Greed) signal calm-but-stretched conditions heading into a critical macro week.

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May 19, 2026 · JNJ

JNJ: Dividend King with a Pharma Growth Engine

$24.1B Q1 revenue, 54 consecutive years of dividend increases, Darzalex and Tremfya absorbing the Stelara cliff. At 26x with a 2.36% yield and 12% analyst upside, the quality case is strong.

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May 19, 2026 · TJX

TJX: The Off-Price Retailer That Wins in Every Environment

$60.4B revenue, 5% comp growth, 13% dividend raise, $2.75B in planned buybacks. Off-price structurally benefits from tariff chaos — more excess inventory means better buying. Quality hold, strong buy below $140.

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May 19, 2026 · Macro

Japan's Rate Hike and the Carry Trade Unwind

BOJ at 0.75% with 74% June hike probability priced. Four scenarios for the carry trade unwind — and what each one means for US equities, Treasuries, and your portfolio.

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May 18, 2026 · SPY

SPY At The Wall: All-Time Highs Under Pressure as NVDA Earnings Define the Week

SPY closed at $739.17 on May 15, just 1.4% from its 52-week high, as VIX surged 6.8% to 18.43 and CPI re-accelerated to 3.8%. NVDA earnings May 20 and FOMC minutes set up the most binary week in months.

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May 2026 · CBRS

Cerebras (CBRS) — IPO Follow-Up

Priced at $185, opened +89%, closed day 1 at $311 on a $95B market cap. The AI hardware narrative won — now the company has to earn it at 186x trailing revenue.

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May 15, 2026 · CEG

CEG: The AI Power Compounder

Constellation at $275 after Calpine, Microsoft 20-yr PPA, and a 23% EPS growth guide. Equity scale-in zones and Jan 2027 LEAP structure for the multi-year nuclear+AI thesis.

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May 12, 2026 · GRPN

GRPN: Buyback + Squeeze + AI Turnaround Wildcard

Groupon at $17 with 53% short interest, a $245M buyback (44% of market cap), and a hidden SumUp stake worth potentially the entire market cap. Asymmetric or skip.

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May 12, 2026 · SE

SE Q1 2026: Three Engines Firing, First $1B EBITDA Quarter

Revenue +46.6%, Monee +57.8%, Shopee GMV record $37.3B. The diversification thesis finally printed — and the LEAP trade is already paid out.

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May 11, 2026 · SPY

SPY Week Ahead: Trade Truce, CPI Roulette & the Warsh Wildcard

SPY closed at $737.62 on six straight winning weeks as a weekend US-China tariff rollback (145%→30%) fires the starting gun. Tuesday's CPI print and Friday's Fed chair handoff are the real tests for the week ahead.

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May 8, 2026 · RKLB

RKLB Q1 2026: $200M Revenue, $2.2B Backlog, and Neutron Coming

Rocket Lab just posted its best quarter ever — +63.4% YoY, a record backlog, and 5 Neutron contracts signed before the rocket has flown.

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May 8, 2026 · ASTS

ASTS: FCC Approved, Satellites Deploying, and a Trillion-Dollar TAM

FCC commercial authority granted April 22. AT&T, Verizon, Vodafone, Google locked in. 60 satellites by year-end. The regulatory risk is gone — now it’s execution.

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May 8, 2026 · LUNR

LUNR: Intuitive Machines and the Coming Lunar Economy

The only public company with a proven lunar landing. NASA contracts, Artemis tailwind, and a decade-long build cycle ahead.

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May 8, 2026 · PL

PL: Planet Labs and the Satellite Imagery Data Moat

200+ satellites imaging the entire Earth daily. The historical archive compounds over time — and AI analytics on top of it is the next margin expansion story.

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May 8, 2026 · RDW

RDW: Redwire and the Space Manufacturing Thesis

Picks and shovels for the space economy — solar arrays, deployable structures, in-space manufacturing. Every satellite that flies needs their hardware.

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May 7, 2026 · FSLY

FSLY Q1 2026: Beat Everything, Down 38% — Here’s the Actual Story

Revenue +20%, gross margins up 940 bps, FCF positive — and the stock lost a third of its value. This is what a valuation reset looks like.

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May 6, 2026 · KTOS

KTOS Q1 2026: Beat, Raise, and a Hypersonics Ramp That Doubles in a Year

22% revenue growth, 1.6x book-to-bill, and a $400M→$700M hypersonics trajectory. Kratos just validated the watchlist thesis.

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May 6, 2026 · ANET

ANET Q1 2026: Beat, Raise, and a 15% Drop

Arista delivered 35% growth and lifted its AI target to $3.5B. The market said “not enough.” Here’s the real story.

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May 4, 2026 · PLTR

PLTR Q1 2026: 85% Growth, Monster Beat — and the Stock Barely Moved

Palantir's fastest revenue growth since IPO, a massive guidance raise, and the market shrugged. Here's what that tells you.

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May 4, 2026 · NKE

NKE LEAP: When the CEO Buys $1M at the Low

Insider conviction meets a multi-year reset — the Jan 2028 LEAP case for Nike at $44, down 73% from ATH.

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May 4, 2026 · SPY

SPY Market Review — Week of May 5, 2026: Record Highs, Real Friction

SPY hit a 52-week high of $724.87 on blockbuster Q1 earnings (+27.1% blended growth, 84% beat rate), but Core PCE at 3.2%, a historically fractured 8-4 Fed vote, and oil up 76% from February put a ceiling on the rally. Cautious bull — don't chase the ATH.

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May 3, 2026 · LLY

LLY Q1 2026: $19.8B Revenue, 60% Market Share, the Oral GLP-1 Era Begins

Mounjaro +125% to $8.66B, Zepbound +80%, EPS beat of $1.29 — and Foundayo launched as the first oral GLP-1 for obesity with no competitor in sight.

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May 1, 2026 · PEGA

Pegasystems Q1 2026 — Revenue -10%, Cloud +36%, Blueprint as Moat

PEGA missed the quarter badly — revenue down 10%, EPS $0.46 vs $0.68 expected. But Cloud ACV hit $900M (+29%) and Blueprint is emerging as the real differentiator.

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April 30, 2026 · AAPL

Apple Q2 FY2026 — Record $111B Revenue, $31B Services, and a $100B Buyback

Beat across every line. March quarter records in revenue, profit, and iPhone. Services at an all-time high. The only uncertainty left is tariffs — and Apple quantified even that.

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April 29, 2026 · SPY

SPY Market Review — Macro, VIX, and a Cautious Thesis for the Week

SPY at $711 with RSI 48, VIX at 18.81 rising toward 20, and Fear & Greed flipped to 70 (Greed). The tape is stabilizing but the macro doesn't support a clean rally.

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April 29, 2026 · GOOGL

Alphabet Q1 2026 — Cloud +63% at $20B Crosses the Threshold, Search Holds

Google Cloud at $20B and +63% YoY is the structural inflection. Search beating estimates puts the AI disruption bear case on hold. Operating margin: 36%.

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April 29, 2026 · META

Meta Q1 2026 — 41% Operating Margins, Revenue +33%, $145B Capex Raise Is the Only Debate

Revenue +33% and 41% operating margins confirm the ad engine is running at peak efficiency. Strip the $8B tax benefit — it's still a beat. Watch the capex raise.

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April 29, 2026 · MSFT

Microsoft Q3 FY2026 — Azure +40%, AI ARR Triples, $627B Backlog Signals Multi-Year Lock-In

Azure beating estimates again, AI ARR at $37B growing 123% YoY, and a commercial backlog that nearly doubled. The platform strategy is compounding.

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April 29, 2026 · AMZN

Amazon Q1 2026 — AWS Hits 15-Quarter Growth High, EPS Beats by 70%

AWS +28%, EPS crushing estimates by 70%, and operating income 14% above the guidance ceiling. Amazon's margin story is no longer a debate.

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April 29, 2026 · WDAY

Workday Q1 FY2026 — 30% Margins, AI Doubles, Deal Delays Cloud the Setup

Non-GAAP margin expansion to 30% and AI contract value doubling — but deal delays and slowing FY27 guidance keep WDAY near LEAP watch territory.

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April 29, 2026 · ADBE

Adobe Q1 FY2026 — Record Revenue, AI ARR Triples, But Deceleration Narrative Wins

Record Q1 revenue and $2.96B cash flow — but 10.2% ARR growth guidance has the stock pinned in LEAP watch territory near $240.

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April 29, 2026 · SE

Sea Limited Q4 2025 — Revenue Beats, EPS Misses, Shopee Accelerates

38% revenue growth and a 73% net income surge — EPS missed but the underlying business is printing. LEAP entry watch at $77 or below.

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April 28, 2026 · KTOS · RKLB

KTOS vs. RKLB: Two Ways to Play Aerospace Growth in 2026

Autonomous warfare vs. space infrastructure — two compelling growth names, two very different risk profiles. Here’s how they stack up.

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April 28, 2026 · HOOD

HOOD Q1 2026: Crypto Dragged the Number, Everything Else Held

$1.07B revenue, $0.38 EPS — both missed consensus, stock down 8%. Here’s where the thesis stands after the print.

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April 28, 2026 · HOOD

Robinhood (HOOD): Earnings Tonight — Wait for the Print

$83 into Q1 earnings — ~10% implied move, $80 support the line to watch, and a LEAP setup waiting on the other side.

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April 27, 2026 · GENB

Generate Biomedicines (GENB): Below IPO Price, Interesting Risk/Reward

Flagship Pioneering's Phase 3 asthma bet — dosing differentiation vs. binary clinical risk.

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April 27, 2026 · LLY & AMGN

LLY vs. AMGN — Two Ways to Play the Obesity Revolution

Eli Lilly owns 60% of the GLP-1 market and is down 23% from highs. Amgen is betting on monthly dosing with MariTide. Two great companies, two different theses.

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April 27, 2026 · CBRS (pending)

Cerebras Systems — Pre-IPO Research Note

The world's largest chip, a $10B OpenAI deal, 76% revenue growth — but 86% UAE concentration is the risk that will define the May listing.

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April 27, 2026 · SMR

NuScale Power — Research Note

The only NRC-certified SMR in the US — but the ENTRA1 debacle, near-zero revenue, and governance red flags make this a lottery ticket, not a position.

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April 27, 2026 · CLS

Celestica Q1 2026 Earnings

53% revenue growth, 80% EPS growth, new 1.6T switch win. The AI story is real — but EMS margins at 40x forward is the risk to watch.

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April 24, 2026 · VEEV

VEEV: Quality Name in an Ugly Cycle — 20x Forward Earnings for a 45% Margin Moat

Veeva Systems is down 47% from highs on sector sentiment, not business deterioration. At 20x forward earnings, this is the cheapest it's been in years.

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April 24, 2026 · BMRN

BMRN: 11x Forward Earnings But Can Management Execute?

BioMarin trades near 52-week lows with credible growth — but Roctavian's failure and the $4.8B Amicus deal demand patience before pulling the trigger.

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April 23, 2026 · SE

Sea Limited — Business Deep Dive

54% off its highs, 36% revenue growth, SeaMoney compounding hard. The business is real — the timing is the only question.

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April 23, 2026 · TXN

Texas Instruments Q1 2026 Earnings

19% revenue beat, data center up 90%, industrial recovery confirmed. TI is quietly printing cash — but don't chase the gap.

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April 23, 2026 · INTC

Intel Q1 2026 Earnings

29x EPS beat, 18A in high-volume manufacturing. The turnaround is real — tonight's 20% gap isn't the entry.

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April 22, 2026 · TSLA

Tesla Q1 2026 Earnings

EPS beat, revenue miss, 50K vehicle inventory overhang. The clean growth story has a crack in it.

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